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You roll two fair 6-sided dice.

One of them is a 6.

What are the odds that the other is also a six?

[Poll #1770498]

(no subject)

Date: 2011-08-17 11:12 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] tsunami-ryuu.livejournal.com
Ahhh, tricksy question. I answered incorrectly because I didn't think that one through. It's all in the wording.

(no subject)

Date: 2011-08-18 12:59 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] silmaril.livejournal.com
1/11.

(This is how tired I am: I had to actually write out the complete set, delete everything that didn't have a six in it, and count. I was left with {(6,1),(6,2),(6,3),(6,4),(6,5),(1,6),(2,6),(3,6),(4,6),(5,6),(6,6)}, which I rewrote here and recounted just to make sure my count was right. I think if you were to pull out the flaying knives now I might be able to do the formal derivation, but not otherwise. Tiiiiiiired.)

(no subject)

Date: 2011-08-18 01:23 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] a1057soul.livejournal.com
depending on how you read the question... there are 11/36 possible combinations where a 6 is present: 1-5,6 and 6,1-6.

The question asks if one of the die is a 6 and what is the probability that the other is ALSO a six... this to me indicates BOTH sixes, which has a probability of 1/36 based on each having 6 outcomes on two dies... assuming of course 'fair sided' means numbering from 1-6 (this isn't stated).

The probability of rolling a 2nd six after identifying the first is 1/6, but the probability of rolling 2 sixes is 1/36.

But then I generally do my math like this (http://www.giantitp.com/comics/oots0034.html).

:o.
Dan

(no subject)

Date: 2011-08-18 01:34 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] crazy-alexy.livejournal.com
This shit is why I hate math. -.-

(no subject)

Date: 2011-08-18 02:01 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] ipslore.livejournal.com
Okay, there's four possibilities:
1) *The one that's a six is a six, and the other one is a six
2) *The one that's a six is a six, and the other one is not a six
3) *The one that's a six is not a six, and the other one is a six
4) *The one that's a six is not a six, and the other one is not a six.

Clearly, we can eliminate 3) and 4). That leaves us with a 1 in 6 probability that the die other than the die that's a six is also a six.

(alternate, smart-ass answer: the odds are 0, because 'one of them' means 'exactly one of them'.)

(no subject)

Date: 2011-08-18 02:40 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] kafziel.livejournal.com
Without reading other comments: is it 1/11?

(no subject)

Date: 2011-08-18 02:42 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] dreamshade.livejournal.com
Bah, I understood the general idea because I'd already heard the "one of my children is a boy, what are the chances that the other is" puzzle, but then I went and read the comments before doing the exact math and spoiled it for myself.

(no subject)

Date: 2011-08-18 03:20 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] dscotton.livejournal.com
I got 1/11. 11/36 die combinations include a six. 1 of those consists of two sixes.

(no subject)

Date: 2011-08-18 03:45 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] krinndnz.livejournal.com
Yes, questions are harder to answer when they're worded badly. Every time you post this (e.g. the raptors) I think you're an asshole.

(no subject)

Date: 2011-08-18 05:43 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] pappy-legba.livejournal.com
Livejournaler confuses poor wording for cleverness, film at 11.

(no subject)

Date: 2011-08-18 06:22 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] ali-in-london.livejournal.com
[x] Some initial answer, but then reading the comments convinced me I was wrong.

(no subject)

Date: 2011-08-18 06:37 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] tempter.livejournal.com
I'm curious what you think the answer is.

(no subject)

Date: 2011-08-18 03:56 pm (UTC)
ext_6388: Avon from Blake's 7 fails to show an emotion (Problem?)
From: [identity profile] fridgepunk.livejournal.com
1/6 because the die that came up six is loaded and always comes up 6.

Problem?

(no subject)

Date: 2011-08-18 07:46 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] heavenscalyx.livejournal.com
More evidence that I still have PTSD and memory gaps from my horrible required statistics course 20 years ago.

(no subject)

Date: 2011-08-19 08:32 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] thornae.livejournal.com
If I'm rolling them? 1.


(Actually, I made the same table as dianavilliers in my head, and got the same answer. But I've been watching a lot of The Mentalist lately...)

(no subject)

Date: 2011-08-20 09:11 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] cavalorn.livejournal.com
Kicking myself now for misreading the question.

I'd seen it as an issue of 'two dice rolled under separate cups - you look at one of them, see it is a six, and therefore the die under the other cup has a one in six chance of being a six.'

But that's not the question you were asking at all, I see.

In fact, it's much more like this:

Your GM rolls 2d6 behind his GM's screen. He looks at them and says 'Well, one of these is a 6.' You then have to figure out the odds of the other one being a 6 too.

(no subject)

Date: 2011-08-21 04:27 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] littlebus.livejournal.com
The question is too ambiguously worded to be a useful probability question, but is a good semantics riddle.

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