Because MATH, that's why.
Aug. 17th, 2011 07:05 pm![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png)
You roll two fair 6-sided dice.
One of them is a 6.
What are the odds that the other is also a six?
[Poll #1770498]
One of them is a 6.
What are the odds that the other is also a six?
[Poll #1770498]
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Date: 2011-08-17 11:12 pm (UTC)(no subject)
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Date: 2011-08-17 11:37 pm (UTC)(no subject)
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Date: 2011-08-18 12:59 am (UTC)(This is how tired I am: I had to actually write out the complete set, delete everything that didn't have a six in it, and count. I was left with {(6,1),(6,2),(6,3),(6,4),(6,5),(1,6),(2,6),(3,6),(4,6),(5,6),(6,6)}, which I rewrote here and recounted just to make sure my count was right. I think if you were to pull out the flaying knives now I might be able to do the formal derivation, but not otherwise. Tiiiiiiired.)
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Date: 2011-08-18 01:23 am (UTC)The question asks if one of the die is a 6 and what is the probability that the other is ALSO a six... this to me indicates BOTH sixes, which has a probability of 1/36 based on each having 6 outcomes on two dies... assuming of course 'fair sided' means numbering from 1-6 (this isn't stated).
The probability of rolling a 2nd six after identifying the first is 1/6, but the probability of rolling 2 sixes is 1/36.
But then I generally do my math like this (http://www.giantitp.com/comics/oots0034.html).
:o.
Dan
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Date: 2011-08-18 01:34 am (UTC)(no subject)
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Date: 2011-08-18 02:01 am (UTC)1) *The one that's a six is a six, and the other one is a six
2) *The one that's a six is a six, and the other one is not a six
3) *The one that's a six is not a six, and the other one is a six
4) *The one that's a six is not a six, and the other one is not a six.
Clearly, we can eliminate 3) and 4). That leaves us with a 1 in 6 probability that the die other than the die that's a six is also a six.
(alternate, smart-ass answer: the odds are 0, because 'one of them' means 'exactly one of them'.)
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Date: 2011-08-18 06:22 am (UTC)(no subject)
Date: 2011-08-18 06:37 am (UTC)(no subject)
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Date: 2011-08-18 03:56 pm (UTC)Problem?
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Date: 2011-08-18 07:46 pm (UTC)(no subject)
Date: 2011-08-19 08:32 am (UTC)(Actually, I made the same table as dianavilliers in my head, and got the same answer. But I've been watching a lot of The Mentalist lately...)
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Date: 2011-08-20 09:11 am (UTC)I'd seen it as an issue of 'two dice rolled under separate cups - you look at one of them, see it is a six, and therefore the die under the other cup has a one in six chance of being a six.'
But that's not the question you were asking at all, I see.
In fact, it's much more like this:
Your GM rolls 2d6 behind his GM's screen. He looks at them and says 'Well, one of these is a 6.' You then have to figure out the odds of the other one being a 6 too.
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Date: 2011-08-21 04:27 pm (UTC)